Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 128.401372 148.559533 172.155012 202.153150 239.772833 286.076071 3.484852e+02
2025-03-09 101.698873 126.499751 158.704702 204.827595 271.398783 367.857360 5.263381e+02
2025-03-16 85.219443 110.527661 145.473693 199.372723 284.721508 423.495377 6.891790e+02
2025-03-23 77.195662 103.762320 142.458968 206.266601 316.521902 517.609942 9.716480e+02
2025-03-30 67.812923 93.332661 131.862113 198.396301 320.785406 564.154616 1.192262e+03
2025-04-06 62.497435 88.066569 128.090556 200.575287 343.085229 655.037428 1.599558e+03
2025-04-13 57.575531 82.703859 123.226234 199.616203 358.734619 738.753331 2.084298e+03
2025-04-20 55.355379 81.293571 124.597091 210.220646 401.678253 913.219783 3.172140e+03
2025-04-27 54.234963 81.489909 128.670613 226.855519 464.389591 1188.655717 5.482686e+03
2025-05-04 50.805528 77.388323 124.423849 225.442801 482.385934 1338.379002 7.687377e+03
2025-05-11 48.273227 74.574412 122.181013 227.884632 511.706693 1556.865395 1.187787e+04
2025-05-18 45.446532 70.971518 117.992032 225.155509 525.693161 1729.486492 1.737279e+04
2025-05-25 43.174423 68.468854 116.252143 229.370559 567.906625 2115.553890 3.590907e+04
2025-06-01 40.861448 65.717329 113.772306 231.656802 607.315665 2575.171037 8.962523e+04
2025-06-08 38.068016 61.786337 108.342428 225.282536 614.212515 2861.501250 2.016775e+05
2025-06-15 36.775236 60.570341 108.436778 233.430591 680.273059 3761.249312 2.541171e+06
2025-06-22 34.273090 56.797125 102.577273 224.123156 672.595976 4030.047906 4.194017e+07
2025-06-29 32.880646 55.080482 101.031778 226.697862 717.876352 5027.756416 NaN
2025-07-06 31.360330 52.982750 98.391129 225.564368 746.822536 6010.589162 NaN
2025-07-13 30.830606 52.826316 100.145243 238.115995 852.525207 8978.736766 NaN
2025-07-20 30.694591 53.456082 103.818520 257.886388 1018.673352 15907.924975 NaN
2025-07-27 29.400236 51.558350 101.181200 256.203624 1058.365627 20301.583316 NaN
2025-08-03 28.433741 50.283486 99.938795 259.112652 1132.777825 29046.315789 NaN